Andrew’s 91st Academy Award Nomination Predictions

The 91^st Academy Award nominations will be announced on January 22^nd at 5:20am PST (9:20pm WST/12:20am EST). You can watch them roll out live here.

I won’t go into too much depth into my predictions as they’ll really only be relevant for the next day or so. I will say this: the old adage that ‘nobody knows anything’ is as apt as it has ever been, with Green Book and Bohemian Rhapsody stirring the pot with being potential history makers, all the while some of the finest films of 2018 are also vying for major attention – Roma, BlacKkKlansman, A Star is Born.

The Oscar narrative has been running for a long while with lead up awards shows trying to shape the race. The Golden Globes, the PGA, SAG, the BAFTA’s, the WGA – all of these awards shows are small change compared to the big event.

The Academy Awards will be held on February 24^th 5:00pm PST (February 25^th 9:00am WST/12:00pm EST).

Best Picture

BlacKkKlansman
Black Panther
Roma
A Star is Born
The Favourite
Bohemian Rhapsody
Vice
Green Book

Coming up close: Eighth Grade, If Beale Street Could Talk

Best Director

Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman
Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born
Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite
Adam McKay – Vice

Coming up close: Peter Farrelly – Green Book, Ryan Coogler – Black Panther

Best Actress

Glenn Close – The Wife
Lady Gaga – A Star is Born
Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Olivia Colman – The Favourite
Elsie Fisher – Eighth Grade

Coming up close: Emily Blunt – Mary Poppins Returns, Yalitza Aparicio – Roma

Best Actor

Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody
Christian Bale – Vice
Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born
Ethan Hawke – First Reformed
Viggo Mortensen – Green Book

Coming up close: John David Washington – BlacKkKlansman, Ryan Gosling – First Man

Best Supporting Actress

Amy Adams – Vice
Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone – The Favourite
Rachel Weisz – The Favourite
Emily Blunt – A Quiet Place

Coming up close: Claire Foy – First Man, Thomasin McKenzie – Leave No Trace

Best Supporting Actor

Mahershala Ali – Green Book
Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman
Sam Elliott – A Star is Born
Timothee Chalamet – Beautiful Boy

Coming up close: Sam Rockwell – Vice, Michael B. Jordan – Black Panther

Best Adapted Screenplay

BlacKkKlansman
If Beale Street Could Talk
A Star is Born
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Black Panther

Coming up close: Leave No Trace, First Man

Best Original Screenplay

First Reformed
The Favourite
Roma
Green Book
Vice

Coming up close: Eighth Grade, A Quiet Place

Best Cinematography

Roma
A Star is Born
The Favourite
Black Panther
First Man

Coming up close: If Beale Street Could Talk, Bohemian Rhapsody

Best Costume Design

Black Panther
The Favourite
Mary, Queen of Scots
Mary Poppins Returns
Crazy Rich Asians

Coming up close: BlacKkKlansman, First Man

Best Film Editing

A Star is Born
Roma
The Favourite
Black Panther
Vice

Coming up close: First Man, Bohemian Rhapsody

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Vice
Bohemian Rhapsody
Black Panther

Coming up close: Mary, Queen of Scots, Suspiria

Best Production Design

Black Panther
The Favourite
A Star is Born
Crazy Rich Asians
Mary Poppins Returns

Coming up close: Roma, First Man

Best Score

First Man
BlacKkKlansman
If Beale Street Could Talk
Mary Poppins Returns
Black Panther

Coming up close: Isle of Dogs, Annihilation

Best Song

Shallow – A Star is Born
Revelation – Boy Erased
Trip a Little Light Fantastic – Mary Poppins Returns
I’ll Fight – RBG
All the Stars – Black Panther

Coming up close: Girl in the Movies – Dumplin’, When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings – The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

Best Sound Editing

First Man
Black Panther
A Quiet Place
A Star is Born
Mission: Impossible – Fallout

Coming up close: Bohemian Rhapsody, Mary Poppins Returns

Best Sound Mixing

A Star is Born
First Man
Black Panther
A Quiet Place
Mary Poppins Returns

Coming up close: Mission: Impossible – Fallout, Avengers: Infinity War

Best Visual Effects

Black Panther
Avengers: Infinity War
First Man
Ready Player One
Mary Poppins Returns

Coming up close: Christopher Robin, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

Best Animated Feature

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Mirai

Coming up close: Smallfoot, Early Man

Best Documentary Feature

Won’t You Be My Neighbor?
Minding the Gap
Free Solo
RBG
Shirkers

Coming up close: Hale County This Morning, This Evening, Of Fathers and Sons

Best Foreign Language Film

Roma
Shoplifters
Cold War
Burning
Capernaum

Coming up close: Birds of Passage, The Guilty

Best Animated Short

Bao
Lost and Found
Bilby
Animal Behaviour
Weekends

Coming up close: Bird Karma, Age of Sail

Best Documentary Short

Black Sheep
Zion
End Game
Women of the Gulag
Period. End of Sentence

Coming up close: My Dead Dad’s Porno Tapes, Lifeboat

Best Live Action Short

Marguerite
Skin
Caroline
Detainment
Fauve

Coming up close: Icare, May Day

Total Nominations:

A Star is Born – 12, Black Panther – 12, The Favourite – 10, Vice – 7, Roma – 6, Mary Poppins Returns – 6, BlacKkKlansman – 5, Green Book – 4, Bohemian Rhapsody – 3, If Beale Street Could Talk – 3, A Quiet Place – 3, Can You Ever Forgive Me? – 3, First Reformed – 2, Crazy Rich Asians – 2, Isle of Dogs – 2, RBG – 1, The Wife – 1, Eighth Grade – 1, Beautiful Boy – 1, Mary, Queen of Scots – 1, Avengers: Infinity War – 1, Ready Player One – 1, Mission: Impossible – Fallout – 1, Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse – 1, Incredibles 2 – 1, Ralph Breaks the Internet – 1, Mirai – 1, Shoplifters – 1, Cold War – 1, Burning – 1, Capernaum – 1, Won’t You Be My Neighbor? – 1, Minding the Gap – 1, Free Solo – 1, Shirkers – 1